{"id":3744,"date":"2018-02-09T15:08:26","date_gmt":"2018-02-09T07:08:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/sarawakmethodist.org\/weilibao\/?p=3744"},"modified":"2018-02-09T15:08:26","modified_gmt":"2018-02-09T07:08:26","slug":"%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e8%b6%8b%e5%8a%bf%e6%8e%a2%e8%ae%a8%ef%bc%9a%e4%bb%8e%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%91%a8%e6%9c%9f%e7%9c%8b%e7%ba%a2%e7%81%af%e4%ba%ae%e8%b5%b7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/scaccmm.sarawakmethodist.org\/new\/?p=3744","title":{"rendered":"\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d8b\u52bf\u63a2\u8ba8\uff1a\u4ece\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5468\u671f\u770b\u7ea2\u706f\u4eae\u8d77"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u6587\/\u8bb8\u9053\u654f\uff08\u8bd7\u5deb\u4eac\u57ce\u9152\u5e97\u7ecf\u7406\uff09<\/p>\n

\u4e00 \u25cf \u5f15\u8a00<\/span><\/strong>
\n\u5168\u7403\u90fd\u5728\u5173\u6ce8\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u5578\uff01
\n\u6cd5\u56fd\u5174\u4e1a\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u7231\u5fb7\u534e\u65af\uff08ALBERT EDWARDS \uff09\u4e00\u76f4\u8b66\u60d5\u6ce1\u6cab\u53ef\u80fd\u7206\u88c2\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u76d1\u4e8e\u80a1\u5e02\u5df2\u6765\u5230\u6781\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u7565\u6709\u98ce\u5439\u8349\u52a8\uff0c\u5f62\u52bf\u5c31\u53ef\u80fd\u9006\u8f6c\u3002
\n\u5168\u7403\u6b63\u8d8b\u5411\u53e6\u4e00\u573a\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u800c\u5371\u673a\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u53ca\u4e00\u4e9b\u5148\u51b3\u6761\u4ef6\u5728\u5f62\u6210\u3002
\n\u4e13\u5bb6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u53ea\u6709\u5929\u624d\u80fd\u51c6\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u5371\u673a\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u70b9\u3002\u4f46\u5371\u673a\u8d8b\u52bf\u5374\u4e0d\u96be\u770b\u5230\u3002
\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5927\u5b66\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u9c81\u5bbe\u5c3c\uff08NOURIEL ROUBINI\uff09\u5c31\u662f\u8fd1\u4ee36\u4e2a\u582a\u79f0\u5929\u624d\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002
\n\u9c81\u5bbe\u5c3c\u4e8e2006\u5e748\u6708\u6210\u529f\u9884\u6d4b2008\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u5578\u3002\u4ed6\u5f53\u65f6\u5c31\u8b66\u544a\u7f8e\u56fd\u623f\u8d37\u53ca\u623f\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\u7206\u7834\u5371\u673a\u7684\u6765\u4e34\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e8c \u25cf \u4eba\u7c7b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3000\u5faa\u73af\u8d70\u52bf<\/span><\/strong>
\n\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5faa\u73af\u8d70\u52bf\u652f\u914d\u4eba\u7c7b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002
\n\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u5468\u671f\uff08PREDICTABLE CYCLE\uff09\u5982\u540c\u957f\u6ce2\u6216\u6ce2\u6d6a\uff08WAVE \uff09\u63a8\u5411\u524d\u8fdb\u3002
\n\u8fd9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u957f\u6ce2\u7406\u8bba\u662f\u7531\u82cf\u8054\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u5eb7\u5fb7\u62c9\u6377\u592b\u4e8e1925\u5e74\u5728\u4ed6\u7684\u7740\u4f5c\u300a\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5468\u671f\u300b\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u3002
\n\u957f\u6ce2\u7406\u8bba\u540e\u6765\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3aK-WAVE\uff0c\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u7eaa\u5ff5\u5eb7\u5fb7\u62c9\u6377\u592b\uff08NIKOLAI KONDRATIEV\uff09\u3002
\nK-WAVE\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u4e3b\u8981\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a
\n1.\u5b87\u5b99\u4e2d\u6bcf\u4e00\u6837\u4e1c\u897f\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u90fd\u6309\u5468\u671f\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u5149\u7ebf\u3001\u58f0\u97f3\u3001\u7535\u6ce2\u3001\u6da8\u6f6e\u7b49\u3002
\n2.\u540c\u6837\u7684\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u662f\u6309\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u5468\u671f\u524d\u8fdb\u3002\u5927\u5468\u671f\uff08\u7ea650-60\u5e74\uff09\u662f\u7531\u591a\u4e2a\u5c0f\u5468\u671f\uff08\u7ea610\u5e74\uff09\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u3002
\n3.\u5728\u79c1\u4eba\u9886\u57df\u5468\u671f\u4e2d\uff08PRIVATE CYCLE\uff09\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u5e26\u9886\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d70\u5411\u6210\u957f\u3001\u5bcc\u88d5\uff0c\u4e4b\u540e\u5468\u671f\u8fbe\u5230\u9ad8\u5cf0\u5c31\u5f15\u53d1\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\uff0c\u63a5\u7740\u662f\u5d29\u6e83\u3002
\n4.\u516c\u5171\u9886\u57df\uff08\u653f\u5e9c\uff09\u8ddf\u7740\u4ecb\u5165\u62ef\u6551\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5370\u949e\u3001\u64cd\u7eb5\u5229\u7387\u3001\u6492\u94b1\u7b49\u653f\u7b56\u6765\u523a\u6fc0\u6210\u957f\u3002
\n\u8fd9\u79cd\u6269\u5f20\u5f0f\u8d22\u653f\u653f\u7b56\u6700\u7ec8\u4e5f\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u5d29\u6e83\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0d\u80fd\u65e0\u8282\u5236\u7684\u5370\u949e\u6216\u4e3e\u503a\u6765\u6d88\u8d39\u3002
\n\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u81f3\u7406\u540d\u8a00\uff1aYou can\u2019t keep spending money you don’t have!<\/p>\n

\u4e09 \u25cf \u5341\u5e74\u4e00\u5468\u3000\u5faa\u73af\u8d70\u52bf<\/span><\/strong>
\n\u5728\u8fd1\u4ee3\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53f2\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u89c1\u8bc1\u4e86\u591a\u6b21\u5341\u5e74\u5faa\u73af\u8d70\u52bf\u3002
\n\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5468\u671f\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u90fd\u5efa\u7acb\u4e8eK-WAVE\u7406\u8bba\u3002
\n\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u5468\u671f\u90fd\u4ee5\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7ed3\u675f\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u8fd1\u4ee3\u51e0\u6b21\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5927\u98ce\u66b4\uff0c\u5176\u57fa\u672c\u5bfc\u56e0\u90fd\u6709\u5171\u540c\u6027\u8d28\uff1a
\n1.1987\u5e7410\u670819\u65e5\u7206\u53d1\u9ed1\u8272\u661f\u671f\u4e00\u80a1\u707e\uff0c\u5176\u4e3b\u56e0\u662f\u80a1\u4ef7\u8fc7\u9ad8\uff0c\u7a0b\u5f0f\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u6d41\u52a8\u91d1\u4e0d\u8db3\u548c\u7f8a\u7fa4\u5fc3\u7406\u3002\u968f\u7740\u80a1\u4ef7\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\u800c\u63a5\u6765\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u3002
\n2.1997\u5e747\u6708\u7206\u53d1\u4e9a\u6d32\u91d1\u878d\u98ce\u66b4\u3002\u4e9a\u6d32\u4ee5\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u5438\u5f15\u5927\u91cf\u70ed\u94b1\u6d41\u5165\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u8d44\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\u5316\uff0c\u540e\u6765\u4e8e1997\u5e74\u7206\u7834\u3002\u4e9a\u6d32\u5927\u90e8\u4efd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u56e0\u6b64\u800c\u9677\u8870\u9000\u3002
\n3.2008\u5e74\uff0c9\u670815\u65e5\u7f8e\u56fd\u6b21\u623f\u8d37\u5371\u673a\u7206\u53d1\u6210\u707e\u3002\u5bfc\u56e0\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u623f\u5e02\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f15\u53d1\u80a1\u5e02\u3001\u6b21\u623f\u8d37\u503a\u52a1\u53ca\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u6ce1\u6cab\u7206\u53d1\u6210\u707e\u3002
\n\u4ee5\u4e0a\u4e09\u6b21\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u90fd\u662f\u4ece\u6210\u957f\u5230\u8fc7\u70ed\uff0c\u8ddf\u7740\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5931\u8861\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u6ce1\u6cab\u5316\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u6ce1\u6cab\u7206\u88c2\u5bfc\u81f4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u3002
\n\u6ca1\u6709\u6240\u8c13\u8fd9\u6b21\u60c5\u51b5\u8ddf\u524d\u51e0\u6b21\u4e0d\u4e00\u6837\u3002\u57fa\u672c\u5bfc\u56e0\u5176\u5b9e\u90fd\u4e00\u6837\u3002<\/p>\n

\u56db \u25cf \u6ce1\u6cab\u7ecf\u6d4e<\/span><\/strong>
\n\u6ce1\u6cab\u7ecf\u6d4e\u662f\u6307\u8d44\u4ea7\u4ef7\u503c\u8d85\u8d8a\u5b9e\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u5bb9\u6613\u8868\u793a\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55\u6216\u6210\u957f\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u3002
\n\u6ce1\u6cab\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ecf\u5e38\u7531\u5927\u91cf\u6295\u673a\u6d3b\u52a8\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u672c\u8d28\u5c31\u662f\u8d2a\u5a6a\u3002
\n\u7531\u4e8e\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5b9e\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5176\u8d44\u4ea7\u72b9\u5982\u6ce1\u6cab\u4e00\u822c\u5bb9\u6613\u7834\u88c2\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e0a\u79f0\u4e4b\u4e3a\u201c\u6ce1\u6cab\u7ecf\u6d4e\u201d\u3002
\n\u6ce1\u6cab\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u6216\u81a8\u80c0\u5230\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u7ecf\u5e38\u4f1a\u7531\u4e8e\u652f\u6491\u6295\u673a\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u6216\u8005\u597d\u6d88\u606f\u7684\u7834\u706d\uff0c\u800c\u5bfc\u81f4\u8d44\u4ea7\u4ef7\u503c\u8fc5\u901f\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u8fd9\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e0a\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e94 \u25cf \u6ce1\u6cab\u5f62\u6210\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>
\n1.\u5b8f\u89c2\u73af\u5883\u5bdb\u677e\u3000\u5145\u65a5\u7092\u4f5c\u8d44\u91d1
\n\u6bcf\u5f53\u7ecf\u8fc7\u4e00\u8f6e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u98ce\u66b4\u540e\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u4e3a\u4e86\u523a\u6fc0\u6210\u957f\uff0c\u62ef\u6551\u8870\u9000\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u5e38\u63a1\u53d6\u8d85\u5bdb\u677e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff08\u964d\u4f4e\u5229\u606f\u3001\u653e\u677e\u94f6\u6839\uff09\u6765\u523a\u6fc0\u6295\u8d44\u548c\u6d88\u8d39\u9700\u6c42\u3002
\n2008\u5e74\u7206\u53d1\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u5578\u540e\uff0c\u5404\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u90fd\u5b9e\u884c\u5bdb\u677e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u751a\u81f3\u63a8\u51fa\u96f6\u5229\u7387\u653f\u7b56\u6765\u6fc0\u6d3b\u6781\u5ea6\u75b2\u5f31\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002
\n\u5c31\u4ee5\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u8054\u50a8\u5c40\u628a\u5229\u606f\u964d\u523040\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u4f4e\u53ca\u72c2\u5370\u949e\u7968\uff08\u901a\u8fc7\u91cf\u5bdb\u653f\u7b56\u6216QUANTITATIVE EASING POLICY\uff09\u6765\u523a\u6fc0\u6210\u957f\u5e76\u4e0d\u5982\u9884\u671f\u822c\u6709\u6548\u3002\u8fd9\u653f\u7b56\uff08\u96f6\u5229\u7387\u3001\u91cf\u5bdb\uff09\u53cd\u800c\u542f\u52a8\u623f\u5e02\u4e0e\u80a1\u5e02\u53e6\u4e00\u8f6e\u5927\u725b\u5e02\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u91cf\u5bdb\u653f\u7b56\u4e0b\u5927\u91cf\u8d44\u91d1\u90fd\u6d41\u8fdb\u80a1\u623f\u5e02\u3002
\n\uff08i\uff09\u7f8e\u56fd\u9053\u6743\u5e08\u5de5\u4e1a\u5e73\u5747\u6307\u6570\uff08DOW JONES INDUSTRIES AVERAGE\uff09\u8fd9\u4e00\u8f6e\u5927\u725b\u5e02\u662f\u4ece2008\u5e7411\u670820\u65e5\u76847552\u70b9\u4e00\u7ebf\u76f4\u5347\u81f3\u76ee\u524d24837\u70b9\uff082017\u5e7412\u670829\u65e5\uff09\uff0c\u52b2\u626c228%\uff0c\u76f8\u5f53\u60ca\u4eba\u3002\u8fd9\u662f1929\u5e74\u7206\u53d1\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5927\u8427\u6761\u4ee5\u6765\u4ece\u672a\u6709\u8fc7\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\u3002
\n\uff08ii\uff092006\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f4f\u623f\u5e02\u573a\u6ce1\u6cab\u9ad8\u5cf0\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u4e8e2007\u5e74\u5d29\u76d8\uff0c\u8d44\u8d37\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u81f4\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u623f\u5e02\u591a\u5e74\u5904\u4e8e\u718a\u5e02\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f4f\u623f\u5e02\u6301\u7eed\u62d6\u7d2f\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u963b\u788d\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u7526\u3002
\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u96f6\u5229\u7387\u4e0e\u91cf\u5bdb\u653f\u7b56\u5f15\u8fdb\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u623f\u5e02\u4ece\u8c37\u5e95\u56de\u5347\u3002
\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u623f\u4ef7\u8d8b\u52bf\u663e\u793a\u4ece2009\u5e74\u81f32016\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u623f\u4ef7\u589e\u5e45\u8d8530%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u516d \u25cf \u6ce1\u6cab\u5f62\u6210\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>
\n2.\u53d1\u5c55\u7f3a\u4e4f\u7ea6\u675f\u673a\u5236
\n\u4ece\u5386\u53f2\u6ce1\u6cab\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u8fc7\u7a0b\u770b\uff0c\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u5bf9\u6ce1\u6cab\u7684\u5f62\u6210\u548c\u53d1\u5c55\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7f3a\u4e4f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6709\u6548\u7684\u7ea6\u675f\u673a\u5236\u3002
\n\u5bf9\u6ce1\u6cab\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5f62\u6210\u548c\u53d1\u5c55\u8fdb\u884c\u7ea6\u675f\uff0c\u5173\u952e\u662f\u5bf9\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6ce1\u6cab\u6210\u957f\u7684\u5404\u79cd\u6295\u673a\u6d3b\u52a8\u8fdb\u884c\u76d1\u7763\u548c\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u4f46\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u7f3a\u4e4f\u8fd9\u79cd\u76d1\u63a7\u7684\u624b\u6bb5\u3002
\n\u8fd9\u79cd\u6295\u673a\u6d3b\u52a8\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u6295\u673a\u5f53\u4e8b\u4eba\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u662f\u4e24\u4e24\u4ea4\u6613\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e2d\u4ecb\u673a\u6784\u80fd\u53bb\u76d1\u63a7\u5b83\u3002
\n\u653f\u5e9c\u662f\u5916\u5728\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u7f6e\u8eab\u4e8e\u4f01\u4e1a\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002\u800c\u4e14\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u8fd8\u5e38\u5e38\u5bb9\u6613\u88ab\u6295\u673a\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u5f62\u6210\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7e41\u8363\u5047\u8c61\u4e00\u65f6\u8ff7\u60d1\uff0c\u89c9\u5bdf\u4e0d\u5230\u80cc\u540e\u9690\u5b58\u7684\u6295\u673a\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u4e00\u76f4\u5230\u95ee\u9898\u79ef\u7d2f\u5230\u76f8\u5f53\u7a0b\u5ea6\u624d\u5f97\u5230\u53d1\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e03 \u25cf \u8fd1\u4ee3\u5386\u53f2\u4e2d\u7684\u6ce1\u6cab\u7ecf\u6d4e<\/strong><\/span>
\n1. 80\u5e74\u4ee3\u65e5\u672c\u6ce1\u6cab\u7ecf\u6d4e
\n\u65e5\u672c1986-1991\u7684\u80a1\u623f\u5e02\u6ce1\u6cab\u5f15\u53d1\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6ce1\u6cab\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u4e8e1992\u5e74\u7206\u53d1\u6210\u707e\u3002
\n2. 1994\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u6bd4\u7d22\u6ce1\u6cab\u5371\u673a
\n\u8fd9\u662f\u8d27\u5e01\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u8d77\u56e0\u662f\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u653f\u5e9c\u4e8e1994\u5e7412\u6708\u7a81\u7136\u5c06\u6bd4\u7d22\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5de8\u8d2c\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u8d44\u91d1\u5927\u91cf\u64a4\u9000\u3002
\n3. 1997\u4e9a\u6d32\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a
\n\u591a\u4e2a\u4e9a\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u5916\u503a\u8d85\u9ad8\uff0c\u5728\u5916\u8d44\u5927\u91cf\u64a4\u9000\u4e0b\uff0c\u6574\u4e2a\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u5d29\u76d8\uff0c\u8fde\u7d2f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9677\u5165\u8870\u9000\u3002
\n4. 2001\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e92\u8054\u7f51\u6ce1\u6cab\u7ecf\u6d4e
\n\u8fd9\u662f1997-2001\u5386\u53f2\u6027\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6ce1\u6cab\uff0c\u4e3b\u56e0\u662f\u6781\u5ea6\u6295\u673a\u4e8e\u4e92\u8054\u7f51\u751f\u610f\u3002\u7eb3\u65af\u8fbe\u80a1\u7968\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u4ece100\u70b9\u72c2\u5347\u81f35000\u70b9\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u7206\u7834\u5d29\u76d8\u3002
\n5. 2008\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u7206\u53d1\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u5578
\n\u8fd9\u53c8\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u6b21\u623f\u8d37\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5bfc\u56e0\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u623f\u4ea7\u5e02\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u80a1\u5e02\u4ee5\u81f3\u6574\u4f53\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u5d29\u6e83\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9677\u5165\u81ea1929\u5e74\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5927\u8427\u6761\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u8870\u9000\u3002<\/p>\n

\u516b \u25cf \u6050\u60e7\u6307\u65702007\u540e\u65b0\u4f4e<\/strong><\/span>
\n2008\u5e74\u7206\u53d1\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u5578\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u50a8\u5c40\u63a8\u51fa\u96f6\u5229\u7387\uff08ZIRP\uff09\u53ca\u91cf\u5bdb\uff08QE\uff0c\u51713\u6b21\uff0c2009\u5e743\u6708\u751f\u6548\uff09\u6765\u62ef\u6551\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002
\n\u7f8e\u80a1\u53d7\u6fc0\u52b1\uff0c\u4e8e2009\u5e743\u6708\u5927\u529b\u4ece\u8c37\u5e95\u53cd\u5f39\uff01
\n9\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u7f8e\u80a1\uff08DOW JONES, SSP, NASDAQ\uff09\u8282\u8282\u51b2\u5411\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0c\u4ece2009\u5e74\u76848500\u81f3\u76ee\u524d24000\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u771f\u6b63\u8c03\u6574\u8fc7\u3002
\n\u7f8e\u80a1\u4e3b\u8981\u63a8\u52a8\u529b\u662f\u6765\u81eaQE\u53ca\u5168\u7403\u7684\u5e9e\u5927\u8d44\u91d1\u3002\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6bd4\u5176\u4ed6\u533a\u57df\u8f83\u5feb\u901f\u590d\u7526\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u56e0\u7d20\u3002
\n\u7f8e\u80a1\u6709\u201c\u6050\u60e7\u6307\u6570\u201d\uff08FEAR INDEX\u6216VIX INDEX\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u6307\u6570\u662f\u7528\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\uff08ANTICIPATED MARKET VOLATILITY\uff09\u3002\u7b80\u5355\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u6050\u60e7\u6307\u6570\u662f\u8861\u91cf\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u4fdd\u4f4f\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u7684\u5fe7\u8651\u611f\u6709\u591a\u9ad8\u3002
\n\u4e00\u822c\u6765\u8bb2\uff0c\u5f53\u80a1\u5e02\u5145\u6ee1\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u53ca\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6709\u9ad8\u6050\u60e7\u611f\u65f6\uff0cFEAR INDEX\u5c31\u8d70\u9ad8\uff1b\u800c\u5f53\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u611f\u5230\u81ea\u6ee1\u4e0e\u8d2a\u5a6a\u65f6\uff0c\u6307\u6570\u5c31\u8d70\u4f4e\u3002
\n\u6050\u60e7\u6307\u6570\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u8bb0\u5f55\u662f\u57282006\u5e7412\u670815\u65e5\uff0c\u53739.39%\u5f53\u65f6\u7f8e\u80a1\u6b63\u66b4\u5347\uff0c\u8d70\u5411\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u70b9\u3002
\n\u800cFEAR INDEX\u4e5f\u4e8e2008\u5e7410\u670824\u65e5\u53d6\u5f97\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0c\u537389.53%\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u80a1\u5e02\u72c2\u8dcc\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5904\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5371\u673a\u3002
\n\u8fd9\u6307\u6570\u57282017\u5e74\u5df2\u6ed1\u8dcc\u81f3\u4f4e\u4e8e11%\uff0c\u66f4\u57282018\u5e74\u6b63\u6708\u4e94\u65e5\u5904\u4e8e9.22%\u3002
\n\u9ad8\u76db\u6295\u884c\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u81ea\u4eceFEAR INDEX\u8bbe\u7acb\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u53ea\u67091.8%\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u7684\u6050\u60e7\u6307\u6570\u662f\u4f4e\u8fc711%\u3002
\n\u6545\u8fd9\u6307\u6570\u5904\u4e8e\u5c11\u8fc711%\u4f4e\u4f4d\u662f\u7f55\u89c1\u7684\u3002
\n\u6050\u60e7\u6307\u6570\u5904\u4e8e\u4f4e\u4f4d\u662f\u5426\u6307\u5411\u7f8e\u80a1\u5df2\u8fbe\u9876\u70b9\uff1f
\n\u8fd9\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u3002\u6050\u60e7\u6307\u6570\u8dcc\u5230\u8c37\u5e95\u53ea\u663e\u793a\u7f8e\u56fdS&P 500\u5927\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u80a1\u5e02\u975e\u5e38\u4e50\u89c2\u53ca\u81ea\u6ee1\uff08COMPLACENCY\uff09\u3002
\n\u8fd9\u79cd\u81ea\u6ee1\u4e0e\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6301\u7eed\u4e00\u9635\u5b50\uff0c\u4f46\u65e0\u8bba\u5982\u4f55\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u8b66\u8baf\u3002
\n\u4f4e\u6050\u60e7\u6307\u6570\u5728\u544a\u8bc9\u6211\u4eec\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ee5\u81f3\u5168\u7403\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u8d8b\u5411\u8c03\u6574\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5f88\u9ad8\uff01
\n\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5b9c\u8c28\u614e\uff01<\/p>\n

\u4e5d \u25cf \u6050\u60e7\u4f4e\uff0c\u98ce\u9669\u9ad8<\/strong><\/span>
\n\u5168\u7403\u6700\u7740\u540d\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u7684\u7ecf\u5178\u540d\u8a00\u8fd9\u6837\u544a\u8bc9\u5927\u5bb6\uff1a\u6700\u5927\u98ce\u9669\u4e0d\u5728\u4eba\u4eba\u6050\u60e7\u65f6\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4eba\u4eba\u4e50\u89c2\u65f6\u3002
\n\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u516c\u53f8\u622a\u81f32017\u5e746\u670830\u65e5\uff0c\u603b\u5171\u7d2f\u79ef\u73b0\u91d1\u4e00\u5343\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6682\u65f6\u4e0d\u505a\u6295\u8d44\u3002
\n\u4e13\u5bb6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u9884\u6d4b\u80a1\u5e02\u98ce\u9669\u5c45\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u7b56\u7565\u6539\u4e3a\u624b\u63e1\u73b0\u91d1\u4e3a\u738b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5341 \u25cf \u5c71\u96e8\u6b32\u6765\u98ce\u6ee1\u697c<\/strong><\/span>
\n\u5168\u7403\u80a1\u5e02\u5728\u8282\u8282\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u800c\u4fe1\u7528\u5e02\u573a\uff08CREDIT MARKETS\uff09\u5728\u52a0\u901f\u8fc7\u5ea6\u6269\u5f20\u3002\u6469\u6839\u53f2\u4e39\u5229\u5168\u7403\u6307\u6570\uff08MSCI ALL COUNTRY WORLD INDEX\uff09\u57282017\u5e74\u5347\u4e8626%\u3002
\n\u8fd9\u662f\u5229\u597d\u6d88\u606f\u3002\u4f46\u597d\u666f\u7ec8\u5c06\u7ed3\u675f\uff0c\u6574\u4e2a\u4e0a\u5347\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u6765\u5230\u62d0\u70b9\u800c\u5f80\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002
\n\u51c6\u5907\u5371\u673a\u7684\u5176\u4e2d\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7b56\u7565\u662f\u624b\u63e1\u5927\u91cf\u73b0\u91d1\u3002\u6240\u8c13\u73b0\u91d1\u4e3a\u738b\uff08CASH IS KING\uff09 \uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u5c06\u5371\u673a\u8f6c\u4e3a\u673a\u4f1a\uff01<\/p>\n

\u5341\u4e00 \u25cf \u7ed3\u8bba<\/strong><\/span>
\n\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u5347\u606f\uff0c\u7f29\u8868\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u7f8e\u80a1\u5347\u5411\u4ee4\u4eba\u62c5\u5fc3\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0c\u53ca\u5468\u671f\u8d70\u52bf\u8d70\u5411\u5c3e\u58f0\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u662f\u5371\u673a\u7684\u8baf\u53f7\uff0c\u503c\u5f97\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u53bb\u5173\u6ce8\u3002
\n\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u7cbe\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u5371\u673a\u7684\u6765\u4e34\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f5c\u8db3\u51c6\u5907\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u5b83\u7684\u53d1\u751f\uff01<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u6587\/\u8bb8\u9053\u654f\uff08\u8bd7\u5deb\u4eac\u57ce\u9152\u5e97\u7ecf\u7406\uff09 \u4e00 \u25cf \u5f15\u8a00 \u5168\u7403\u90fd\u5728\u5173\u6ce8\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u5578\uff01 \u6cd5\u56fd\u5174\u4e1a\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u7231\u5fb7\u534e\u65af\uff08ALBERT EDWARDS \uff09\u4e00\u76f4\u8b66\u60d5\u6ce1\u6cab\u53ef\u80fd\u7206\u88c2\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u76d1\u4e8e\u80a1\u5e02\u5df2\u6765\u5230\u6781\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u7565\u6709\u98ce\u5439\u8349\u52a8\uff0c\u5f62\u52bf\u5c31\u53ef\u80fd\u9006\u8f6c\u3002 \u5168\u7403\u6b63\u8d8b\u5411\u53e6\u4e00\u573a\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u800c\u5371\u673a\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u53ca\u4e00\u4e9b\u5148\u51b3\u6761\u4ef6\u5728\u5f62\u6210\u3002 \u4e13\u5bb6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u53ea\u6709\u5929\u624d\u80fd\u51c6\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u5371\u673a\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u70b9\u3002\u4f46\u5371\u673a\u8d8b\u52bf\u5374\u4e0d\u96be\u770b\u5230\u3002 \u7f8e\u56fd\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5927\u5b66\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u9c81\u5bbe\u5c3c\uff08NOURIEL ROUBINI\uff09\u5c31\u662f\u8fd1\u4ee36\u4e2a\u582a\u79f0\u5929\u624d\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002 \u9c81\u5bbe\u5c3c\u4e8e2006\u5e748\u6708\u6210\u529f\u9884\u6d4b2008\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u5578\u3002\u4ed6\u5f53\u65f6\u5c31\u8b66\u544a\u7f8e\u56fd\u623f\u8d37\u53ca\u623f\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\u7206\u7834\u5371\u673a\u7684\u6765\u4e34\u3002 \u4e8c \u25cf \u4eba\u7c7b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3000\u5faa\u73af\u8d70\u52bf \u7ecf\u6d4e\u5faa\u73af\u8d70\u52bf\u652f\u914d\u4eba\u7c7b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002 \u8fd9\u4e9b\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u5468\u671f\uff08PREDICTABLE CYCLE\uff09\u5982\u540c\u957f\u6ce2\u6216\u6ce2\u6d6a\uff08WAVE \uff09\u63a8\u5411\u524d\u8fdb\u3002 \u8fd9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u957f\u6ce2\u7406\u8bba\u662f\u7531\u82cf\u8054\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u5eb7\u5fb7\u62c9\u6377\u592b\u4e8e1925\u5e74\u5728\u4ed6\u7684\u7740\u4f5c\u300a\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5468\u671f\u300b\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u3002 \u957f\u6ce2\u7406\u8bba\u540e\u6765\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3aK-WAVE\uff0c\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u7eaa\u5ff5\u5eb7\u5fb7\u62c9\u6377\u592b\uff08NIKOLAI KONDRATIEV\uff09\u3002 K-WAVE\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u4e3b\u8981\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a 1.\u5b87\u5b99\u4e2d\u6bcf\u4e00\u6837\u4e1c\u897f\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u90fd\u6309\u5468\u671f\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u5149\u7ebf\u3001\u58f0\u97f3\u3001\u7535\u6ce2\u3001\u6da8\u6f6e\u7b49\u3002 2.\u540c\u6837\u7684\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u662f\u6309\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u5468\u671f\u524d\u8fdb\u3002\u5927\u5468\u671f\uff08\u7ea650-60\u5e74\uff09\u662f\u7531\u591a\u4e2a\u5c0f\u5468\u671f\uff08\u7ea610\u5e74\uff09\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u3002 3.\u5728\u79c1\u4eba\u9886\u57df\u5468\u671f\u4e2d\uff08PRIVATE CYCLE\uff09\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u5e26\u9886\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d70\u5411\u6210\u957f\u3001\u5bcc\u88d5\uff0c\u4e4b\u540e\u5468\u671f\u8fbe\u5230\u9ad8\u5cf0\u5c31\u5f15\u53d1\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\uff0c\u63a5\u7740\u662f\u5d29\u6e83\u3002 4.\u516c\u5171\u9886\u57df\uff08\u653f\u5e9c\uff09\u8ddf\u7740\u4ecb\u5165\u62ef\u6551\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5370\u949e\u3001\u64cd\u7eb5\u5229\u7387\u3001\u6492\u94b1\u7b49\u653f\u7b56\u6765\u523a\u6fc0\u6210\u957f\u3002 \u8fd9\u79cd\u6269\u5f20\u5f0f\u8d22\u653f\u653f\u7b56\u6700\u7ec8\u4e5f\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u5d29\u6e83\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0d\u80fd\u65e0\u8282\u5236\u7684\u5370\u949e\u6216\u4e3e\u503a\u6765\u6d88\u8d39\u3002 \u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u81f3\u7406\u540d\u8a00\uff1aYou can\u2019t keep spending money you don’t have! \u4e09 \u25cf \u5341\u5e74\u4e00\u5468\u3000\u5faa\u73af\u8d70\u52bf \u5728\u8fd1\u4ee3\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53f2\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u89c1\u8bc1\u4e86\u591a\u6b21\u5341\u5e74\u5faa\u73af\u8d70\u52bf\u3002 \u8fd9\u4e9b\u5468\u671f\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u90fd\u5efa\u7acb\u4e8eK-WAVE\u7406\u8bba\u3002 \u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u5468\u671f\u90fd\u4ee5\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7ed3\u675f\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u8fd1\u4ee3\u51e0\u6b21\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5927\u98ce\u66b4\uff0c\u5176\u57fa\u672c\u5bfc\u56e0\u90fd\u6709\u5171\u540c\u6027\u8d28\uff1a 1.1987\u5e7410\u670819\u65e5\u7206\u53d1\u9ed1\u8272\u661f\u671f\u4e00\u80a1\u707e\uff0c\u5176\u4e3b\u56e0\u662f\u80a1\u4ef7\u8fc7\u9ad8\uff0c\u7a0b\u5f0f\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u6d41\u52a8\u91d1\u4e0d\u8db3\u548c\u7f8a\u7fa4\u5fc3\u7406\u3002\u968f\u7740\u80a1\u4ef7\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\u800c\u63a5\u6765\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u3002 2.1997\u5e747\u6708\u7206\u53d1\u4e9a\u6d32\u91d1\u878d\u98ce\u66b4\u3002\u4e9a\u6d32\u4ee5\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u5438\u5f15\u5927\u91cf\u70ed\u94b1\u6d41\u5165\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u8d44\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\u5316\uff0c\u540e\u6765\u4e8e1997\u5e74\u7206\u7834\u3002\u4e9a\u6d32\u5927\u90e8\u4efd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u56e0\u6b64\u800c\u9677\u8870\u9000\u3002 3.2008\u5e74\uff0c9\u670815\u65e5\u7f8e\u56fd\u6b21\u623f\u8d37\u5371\u673a\u7206\u53d1\u6210\u707e\u3002\u5bfc\u56e0\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u623f\u5e02\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f15\u53d1\u80a1\u5e02\u3001\u6b21\u623f\u8d37\u503a\u52a1\u53ca\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u6ce1\u6cab\u7206\u53d1\u6210\u707e\u3002 \u4ee5\u4e0a\u4e09\u6b21\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u90fd\u662f\u4ece\u6210\u957f\u5230\u8fc7\u70ed\uff0c\u8ddf\u7740\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5931\u8861\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u6ce1\u6cab\u5316\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u6ce1\u6cab\u7206\u88c2\u5bfc\u81f4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u3002 \u6ca1\u6709\u6240\u8c13\u8fd9\u6b21\u60c5\u51b5\u8ddf\u524d\u51e0\u6b21\u4e0d\u4e00\u6837\u3002\u57fa\u672c\u5bfc\u56e0\u5176\u5b9e\u90fd\u4e00\u6837\u3002 \u56db \u25cf \u6ce1\u6cab\u7ecf\u6d4e \u6ce1\u6cab\u7ecf\u6d4e\u662f\u6307\u8d44\u4ea7\u4ef7\u503c\u8d85\u8d8a\u5b9e\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u5bb9\u6613\u8868\u793a\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55\u6216\u6210\u957f\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u3002 \u6ce1\u6cab\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ecf\u5e38\u7531\u5927\u91cf\u6295\u673a\u6d3b\u52a8\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u672c\u8d28\u5c31\u662f\u8d2a\u5a6a\u3002 \u7531\u4e8e\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5b9e\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5176\u8d44\u4ea7\u72b9\u5982\u6ce1\u6cab\u4e00\u822c\u5bb9\u6613\u7834\u88c2\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e0a\u79f0\u4e4b\u4e3a\u201c\u6ce1\u6cab\u7ecf\u6d4e\u201d\u3002 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":48980,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,97],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/scaccmm.sarawakmethodist.org\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3744"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/scaccmm.sarawakmethodist.org\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/scaccmm.sarawakmethodist.org\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/scaccmm.sarawakmethodist.org\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/scaccmm.sarawakmethodist.org\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3744"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/scaccmm.sarawakmethodist.org\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3744\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/scaccmm.sarawakmethodist.org\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/48980"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/scaccmm.sarawakmethodist.org\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3744"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/scaccmm.sarawakmethodist.org\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3744"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/scaccmm.sarawakmethodist.org\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3744"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}